Modeling overdispersion with the normalized tempered stable distribution

نویسندگان

  • M. Kolossiatis
  • Jim E. Griffin
  • Mark F. J. Steel
چکیده

A multivariate distribution which generalizes the Dirichlet distribution is introduced and its use for modeling overdispersion in count data is discussed. The distribution is constructed by normalizing a vector of independent tempered stable random variables. General formulae for all moments and cross-moments of the distribution are derived and they are found to have similar forms to those for the Dirichlet distribution. The univariate version of the distribution can be used as a mixing distribution for the success probability of a binomial distribution to define an alternative to the well-studied beta-binomial distribution. Examples of fitting this model to simulated and real data are presented.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Financial Market Models with Lévy Processes and Time-Varying Volatility

Asset management and pricing models require the proper modeling of the return distribution of financial assets. While the return distribution used in the traditional theories of asset pricing and portfolio selection is the normal distribution, numerous studies that have investigated the empirical behavior of asset returns in financial markets throughout the world reject the hypothesis that asse...

متن کامل

Computing VaR and AVaR In Infinitely Divisible Distributions

In this paper we derive closed-form solutions for the cumulative density function and the average value-at-risk for five subclasses of the infinitely divisible distributions: classical tempered stable distribution, Kim-Rachev distribution, modified tempered stable distribution, normal tempered stable distribution, and rapidly decreasing tempered stable distribution. We present empirical evidenc...

متن کامل

A Modified Tempered Stable Distribution with Volatility Clustering

We first introduce a new variant of the tempered stable distribution, named the modified tempered stable(MTS) distribution and we use it to develop the GARCH option pricing model with MTS innovations. This model allows one to describe some stylized phenomena observed in financial markets such as volatility clustering, skewness, and heavy tails of the return distribution.

متن کامل

A New Tempered Stable Distribution and Its Application to Finance

In this paper, we will discuss a parametric approach to risk-neutral density extraction from option prices based on the knowledge of the estimated historical density. A flexible distribution is needed in order to find an equivalent change of measure and, at the same time, take into account the historical estimates. To this end, we introduce a new tempered stable distribution we refer to as the ...

متن کامل

Infinite Variation Tempered Stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Processes with Discrete Observations

We investigate transition law between consecutive observations of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes of infinite variation with tempered stable stationary distribution. Thanks to the Markov autoregressive structure, the transition law can be written in the exact sense as a convolution of three random components; a compound Poisson distribution and two independent tempered stable distributions, one wi...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Computational Statistics & Data Analysis

دوره 55  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2011